Desempenho da indústria eletroeletrônica brasileira e seus determinantes de crescimento entre 1998 e 2008

Abstract

This work evaluates the performance of the sector of the eletroeletronics industries between the years of 1998 and 2008 and its possible performance s determinative. Starting itself of the historical survey since its foundation until the current days, the study presents the characteristics and the segments of this sector as well as the description of its performance in relation to the revenues, trade balance, level of job and structure of market and also it presents a boarding of the performance s determinative that had affected this sector in the period. The research procedure applied is the bibliographical research. A econometrical calculation also is used as form to deepen the empirical inquiry of the subject. The first conclusion of this work is that this sector, composed for eight segments, has heterogeneous characteristic, that means, the behavior of each segment, in many aspects, is distinct and with own characteristics. In such a way the possible performance s determinative also are diverse: Limitation of productive scale, qualified man power, illegal importations, logistic and customs infrastructure, absence of industry of components, tax burden, lack of financing for investment in the sector, technological intensity, expansion of the production and the income, governmental investment, energy crisis, uncertainty politics, balance trade, exchange rate, inflation, consumer credit, expansion of the domestic market, consumption of energy, renewal of the installed park, among others determinatives, these affect directly or indirectly the performance of the sector. It can be concluded that the GDP, exchange rate, energy crisis, uncertainty politics and the world-wide and Chinese economy warming had been the predominant determinative of performance that affected the sector between 1998 and 2008